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Jack Jones's avatar

Another excellent post.

Sam kept pushing for the CV endgame. Isn’t the CV endgame just a “time” add until lower interest rates to refill the liquidity punch bowl and keep the party going with higher valuations and more exits? But, if interest rates higher -> party is ruined and Evergreen and CVs become sober, ugly discounted CEFs?

Leyla Kunimoto's avatar

CVs, while they present a host of conflicts of interest, are still a small fraction of the market..

And personally, I agree: I think the end game for many secondaries funds (ones that hold both LP-led and GP-led secondaries) will be listed CEFs (likely trading at a discount). I simply don’t see a way for a secondaries evergreen fund to meet a prolonged period of redemption requests. BPRE is a good example.

Plain English Investing's avatar

Great post. Thanks for sharing.

The Pareto Investor's avatar

Unlike defense spending or social programs that Congress can theoretically cut, interest must be paid or the government defaults.