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EMc2's avatar

the big question is if they can’t exit to retail, who will they be exiting to.

in CRE it seems like no one wants to be equity, but everyone will be preferred equity or mezzanine debt, and without equity, there are no deals to lend money to

So I predict you’re gonna see equity being replaced by preferred equity or mezzanine debt, both of which act like equity relative to senior debt

Michael Aronstein's avatar

This is a great analysis of the main issues. The distortion of the original form of organization (closed-end, success based compensation) into an asset gathering, high fee, access vehicle with illusory liquidity is the real issue. The industry will likely undergo a reorganization process similar to what front loaded, high cost mutual funds experienced after the ‘68-‘75 shakeout or the Wall Street model once fixed commissions disappeared and trading spreads declined by 95%. A high volume retail product should imply steadily declining fees and expenses, but the incumbent firms are currently extracting so much cash from the existing model that change will happen from the outside and only grudgingly.

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